HTML5 Video – The Adobe Flash Killer?

Hardly.

All this buzz about HTML5 video and how it’s the end of Flash and Adobe’s grasp on video is slipping because of it is utter nonsense.

While of course HTML5 video is going to take a dent from the market share, it’s still in it’s infancy and won’t be a major play for at least a year or two. More people have Flash installed than browsers than can fully support it.

I see it more as a compliment than a competitor, after all, Adobe supports open standards. Also remember how many sites stream flvs, and as far as I know, HTML5 can’t. Let’s not even go into codec issues either.

Flash is here to stay, maybe its use will evolve to something different in 5 years, but it’s not going anywhere soon.